peejman

I've talked with several people who were mildly sick and have been tested. 10-14 days seems to be the typical turn-around time. Which means that all this data people keep throwing around and drawing unsubstantiated conclusions against is at least 2 weeks old. I saw a graph the other day that suggested the positive test rate is only 15%. So 85% of sick people test negative. Interesting.

GIGO as we used to call it. Or there's lies, damn lies, and statistics. Using numerical models requires a fairly well developed BS filter. If you don't already know the answer, it's impossible to validate the output. And Occam's razor tends to hold true.

Fair enough. I'll amend my statement with "practically no one outside the medical community...".

To be fair, practically no one in the US knew Covid-19 existed until late February, testing for it only became widespread here a couple weeks ago (was only available where I live a few days ago), and it takes a week to get the results. The rate of tests administered is increasing at an exponential rate, so of course the rate of positives is also increasing exponentially. I don't discount how dangerous the virus is and how fast it spreads (Italy has made that pretty clear), but the data here is woefully incomplete at this point. I think the data could/should be normalized by the total number of tests administered and/or the population of the general area to give a better representation of how widespread it is.

My screened porch is a peaceful place. It overlooks the flower bed, the bird feeders, bath, and houses. I try to enjoy a few minutes of peace when I get the chance. Sometimes that's interrupted by the screaming horde playing on the swing set, but that's ok too. Most of time.

So that "no penalty for minor crimes" thing is working out well.

Where 2 are gathered, I am there. It'll be disappointing and strange to celebrate Easter at home, but I fully intend to do so. I (we) can see the sunrise and worship anywhere.

Politicians gotta be politicking. Very little will change until we start to see the downslope of the virus curve. We're definitely not there yet. I hope that comes as soon as Easter, but I doubt it.

They forgot to ... "Let it go, let it go...".

You need a dirt backstop. A stand of trees doesn't work. I had bullets hit my house because neighbors about 1/2 mile away apparently didn't realize bullets bounce off trees.

Classic old west gun fighter, Josey Wales style.... One .44 on each leg. Another gun belt with 2 more .44's across the front of the saddle. Shoulder holster with a .38. Saddle scabbards with 2 lever guns and a shotgun. Good to go. Or whatever you're inclined to carry. I would think you'd need reasonable retention so things wouldn't bounce away.

We've been walking around our subdivision every day it hasn't been raining, and plenty of other people are doing the same. I've had more interaction with neighbors that I don't live right next to in the past week than in the prior 10 years. As others have said, winter has been rather miserable. Now that it's warming up, it'll be really hard to keep folks inside. Cuomo needs to get a grip and realize he's in a city of 8.6 million. When more than half aren't at work daily, getting some vitamin D, some exercise, and de-stressing is just what the doctor ordered.

Mine stays in a thumb break holster as an extra layer. My kids are old enough to know better, but I still put it away when I'm not home.

A friend's wife is an ER nurse. Since they have nothing to do at work these days, they got to thinking. A very nasty version of the crud passed through here in January. Mild fever, cough, congestion, all the usual stuff. So they convinced themselves they've already had it. Time will tell if they're right or wrong.

Hundreds of thousands. A 3rd grader at a nearby school tested positive 10 days ago and it's just now hit the news. Given what we know about where and how the virus spreads, that means thousands of local people have been exposed. Yet we're not seeing much in the way of sickness at this point. https://www.wbir.com/mobile/article/news/mother-of-vonore-child-with-covid-19-wants-others-to-take-it-seriously/51-d413f197-e1f0-4ae8-b4e2-1ae79267cc93

Mine stays in a drawer when I'm home and locked in the safe when I'm not. I found the fingerprint safes the same as above, a bit flakey. The ones that seemed best had the mechanical fingertip buttons to push in sequence to unlock, but I never bothered to get one.

I think it's how the audio is mixed in movies. It's mixed for a theater setting where you don't mind everything being really loud. My ears aren't perfect, but I also have to crank the volume to hear the lines and then the special effects get really loud. I think you'd need a pretty advanced EQ to be able to change the mix enough to get what you want. That said, we looked at sound bars recently and I was impressed with a Polk Audio one at Best Buy. I don't recall the model, but it was noticeably less expensive than the Bose.

I'm ok with admitting that I was wrong initially. I feel better knowing Elon Musk is wrong too.

I think that's just for the lab. Time from being tested to being notified of results is about a week. And interestingly, I've heard several first and second hand reports of people under 70 being denied a test.

Similar to this?

They have to pay taxes on cash compared to tax deductions for debt/interest payments. It takes money to make money so having a big pile of cash sitting around doing nothing doesn't bring value in the current school of business thought. I don't necessarily agree, but that's what it is. My employer told us yesterday to start sandbagging and no overtime without approval way up the chain going forward. Overtime has been all you want up to now. 1st quarter is pretty much in the bag at this point, 2nd and 3rd quarter are now in serious doubt. It'll be a bumpy ride into 2021.

A few minutes with sandpaper and a rattle van would fix the muffs.

This. And there is no "common property" like out west.

Buy stock in all the PPV services. They're making a killing.

Sounds like my kids underwear. My wife was doing laundry yesterday hollered "this is GROSS!!!" on several occasions. I threatened to make them go wipe their butts in the grass like a dog.