Jump to content

Thinking of Bugging Out to Public Land?


Recommended Posts

Wrote a post on this tonight and thought I would share it and my back up math.

http://leveledsurvival.com/2018/03/15/bugging-out-to-the-woods/

 

Just to extrapolate since someone (not on TGO) said it was "not that bad", I did some math:

Shtf and the population of Nashville TN (684,410) decides to spread out over 100 square miles. Let's say 50% make it and not count the previous population of those 100 square miles. That leaves 3,422 people per square mile. Even if that was virgin land, no way could it sustain them. Even at 1000 miles that is 342 per square mile. Tucon AZ at 50% over 1000 square miles is 265 per square mile. Upscale this to some place like New York City. 8.538 million people at 50% over 1000 square miles is 4269 people per square mile. It is a concern if you do the math. All those people that survive have to go somewhere.

  • Like 1
Link to comment

In a serious SHTF with mass population migrations, survival rate won't be anywhere near 50%. But it's still an issue. A specific amount of land can only support so many people and if agriculture is the plan, that takes time to plant, grow, harvest, and store. SHTF in late fall, or winter, and kiss that plan goodbye.

Link to comment
13 minutes ago, monkeylizard said:

In a serious SHTF with mass population migrations, survival rate won't be anywhere near 50%. But it's still an issue. A specific amount of land can only support so many people and if agriculture is the plan, that takes time to plant, grow, harvest, and store. SHTF in late fall, or winter, and kiss that plan goodbye.

Yeah 50% is high for longer term, but for the first exodus it is a nice round number to use. 

If agriculture is the plan, some areas have a lot of pavement to bust up before they even approach having enough acres.

Honestly, the best scenario for the survivors is a sudden massive population drop that leaves the infrastructure and food stores intact. Without that the food will be hoarded quickly and lots of the population will go feral. You know how groups love to destroy stuff for no reason. They would trash the very stuff they need to survive. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment

I read a study once, it focused on the Eastern Seaboard, if the migration begins, by foot, 95% of them will die before coming over the Cumberland Plateau. The Appalachian Mountains will be very dangerous. That is of course not counting the existing population.

Honestly I think that most urbanites will be too busy looting to worry about survival. History has shown this time and time again. It is my plan to bug in for a month minimum in my home. Defend and survive. Depending on the disaster, either 90% of the population will have ended themselves in that month, or order will be restored.

  • Like 2
Link to comment

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now

TRADING POST NOTICE

Before engaging in any transaction of goods or services on TGO, all parties involved must know and follow the local, state and Federal laws regarding those transactions.

TGO makes no claims, guarantees or assurances regarding any such transactions.

THE FINE PRINT

Tennessee Gun Owners (TNGunOwners.com) is the premier Community and Discussion Forum for gun owners, firearm enthusiasts, sportsmen and Second Amendment proponents in the state of Tennessee and surrounding region.

TNGunOwners.com (TGO) is a presentation of Enthusiast Productions. The TGO state flag logo and the TGO tri-hole "icon" logo are trademarks of Tennessee Gun Owners. The TGO logos and all content presented on this site may not be reproduced in any form without express written permission. The opinions expressed on TGO are those of their authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the site's owners or staff.

TNGunOwners.com (TGO) is not a lobbying organization and has no affiliation with any lobbying organizations.  Beware of scammers using the Tennessee Gun Owners name, purporting to be Pro-2A lobbying organizations!

×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to the following.
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy | Guidelines
 
We have placed cookies on your device to help make this website better. You can adjust your cookie settings, otherwise we'll assume you're okay to continue.