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1 hour ago, mikegideon said:

Long shortages are going to cause somebody to tool up for bigger production. If they are really seeing a two year shortage, there's some good ROI to increase production.

You could be right, I don't know enough about equipment costs, profit margins and all the other factors that affect ammo manufacturer expansion.  I do remember seeing an interview with a couple of the manufacturer execs a few years ago, in the last shortage.  Both those guys alluded to the fact that purchasing more equipment and setting up new lines was pretty risky, considering the cyclical nature of the business.  Maybe their projections this time are different though ...

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49 minutes ago, No_0ne said:

You could be right, I don't know enough about equipment costs, profit margins and all the other factors that affect ammo manufacturer expansion.  I do remember seeing an interview with a couple of the manufacturer execs a few years ago, in the last shortage.  Both those guys alluded to the fact that purchasing more equipment and setting up new lines was pretty risky, considering the cyclical nature of the business.  Maybe their projections this time are different though ...

The more sustained the demand, the less risky it is. My point was that if the shortage is really that ugly, somebody's gonna tool up.

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25 minutes ago, Dirtshooter said:

I think the problem this time may be getting skilled people that want to WORK!!

The new gear is gonna require less skill. A robot can make a great burger, once you buy the robot.

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3 hours ago, mikegideon said:

Long shortages are going to cause somebody to tool up for bigger production. If they are really seeing a two year shortage, there's some good ROI to increase production.

One would think, but there is also a shortage of raw materials.  Copper demand and prices, for one, have skyrocketed.  

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