MacGyver

If you’ve got people out of the country - bows probably the time to come back if you’re planning to. State Department just issued a Level 4 advisory telling people they should either plan to come home or stay abroad indefinitely: https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/traveladvisories/ea/travel-advisory-alert-global-level-4-health-advisory-issue.html#.XnPHGUBrXPM.twitter Word is a shelter in place is forthcoming.

I'm fortunate to work a job that allows me to work from anywhere. Right now - the whole economy seems to have ground to a halt - and everyone seems to be finding their footing. I'm sure this might change in the weeks ahead, but right now I'm thankful that I've been able to take walks with each of my kids and my wife each day.

Just about any water is drinkable for a time. But, I wouldn’t risk it without getting it tested. Now isn’t the time to be getting E. coli or some other amoebic dysentery. 8 drops to the gallon for clear water - maybe let it sit in an open container for a bit if the taste is noticeable to you.

There are just way too many unknowns right now. But, the numbers are going to get a lot worse before they get better. That's for sure.

If I had $2000 to spend - and didn't have anything on hand, I'd buy the following: 50 pounds of rice 50 pounds of various dried beans/legumes A gallon of olive oil or two A couple of bulk containers of spices from my local Asian market A couple decent bags of onions/potatoes/a bunch of garlic etc. I'd buy a big pack of batteries I might buy a decent weather radio if I didn't already have one And a $30 headlamp Then, I'd pocket the other $1850 and save some more eating beans and rice a few meals a week instead of eating out. Seriously. This is likely to be an economic crisis that lasts a while. While it's fun to talk about survival planning for long term apocalypse-type stuff, I'm not really sure how practical it is.

When you can't sell a seat at any price - you've got a demand shock - and that means there's still a lot of downside for an industry that is built on servicing that demand as close to the edge as they possibly can get. And, illness numbers are going to spike a bunch in the next few weeks. For the average American that doesn't really keep up with everything all the time - this is going to look like things are out of control. Which they kind of will be for a bit. One thing that I really worry about in the weeks ahead is the lack of scaling up the ladder of care. We're going to see more issues like the lack of reagents for test kits as more people get sick. I'm pleased to see Trump potentially invoking the Defense Production Act - but industry doesn't turn in a day - and it's going to take a bit. We're nowhere near the bottom in terms of financial markets. I'm not really a prediction person - but I wouldn't be surprised to see the Dow at 12K.

Market is back to where it was in January 2017 - and we're likely nowhere near the floor. Crude at $25 - and likely still some downside. Crazy times.

OpenTable posted last night about the number of their restaurants that have already laid people off. Food service is almost 12% of the economy. I'd be curious as to whether anyone here has had hours affected/cut.

Yep, outdoors on a lake is about as ideal as you can get in terms of social distancing. Have a big time.

I’ll have to see if I can unhide some of the responses in the original thread.

Airlines are considered critical infrastructure. Passengers aside, they’re filled with cargo. They’re also in tenuous financial positions (as always) - so they’re probably a week or so away from needing to be bailed out.

The overall mortality with H1N1 was a lot lower than what we're seeing here - from April 2009 to April 2010 - H1N1 killed 12,469 people - with an overall mortality rate of 0.02%

Nashville schools closed through April 3. Governor Lee asking all districts to close through the 31st.

Heck, I had to look some of them up.

That’s because precious metals that aren’t a part of a larger, well balanced portfolio has always been a kind of dumb investment. Its not to say there’s not a place for them - but they’re not going to perform as some sort of panacea when everything else heads south.

Too late.

My friend’s Dad is doing quite poorly. Her mom hasn't’ gotten testing results back yet - but expects a positive test. They’re people of deep faith - prayers are greatly appreciated regardless of the outcome.

I don’t know what the reverse of a tidal wave is - but that’s what we’re seeing in data coming out of China right now. And they’re not done yet. I was surprised yet to see the Fed move that aggressively - but we’ve not seen data like this before. They’re trying to keep the credit markets open. Because we learned in ‘08 that credit markets are open - until they’re not. And that’s a giant problem for businesses that are leveraged as they are here in the US.

It’s just not what we want to lead with in the forum. I don’t really care how people put themselves out there in their personal lives - we would rather just not make your supposed ethnicity their main identifier here. i suspected this was leading from the get go. His IP didn’t match his supposed location. So, I asked him to pick another username - he sent me some blistering PM’s in return. I don’t have the time this week for any of that.

The party never ends...

No.

Sorry. I’m not going to debate semantics with a guy with one post.

Welcome to TGO. Please pick a different username.

Please pick a different username.

My boss is jerk. But, my business is just as good from my house as it is from my office. My clients who are typically small businesses are terrified, though.