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JayC last won the day on November 29 2016

JayC had the most liked content!

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1,160 Excellent

About JayC

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    TGO Senior Member
  • Birthday 05/10/1975

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    Nashville, TN


  • Handgun Carry Permit
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  1. So We Sit and Wait.....

    I was commenting on the need for the device to be in space instead of on a missile once it's in the atmosphere... Agreed, they can for sure reach space. Unlikely, the ISS is high enough to above the zone where EMP's are generated, possible but very very unlikely. Much easier to blow a nuke up in the path of the ISS and kill them from radiation when they pass through it.
  2. So We Sit and Wait.....

    Yes, EMP threat requires the device to be detonated in space. While it's true there would be a EMP present in a traditional ballistic missile denotation, it's well within the 'kill' line of the device itself. Otherwise stated, if your watch dies from an such an EMP, you're dead anyway.
  3. So We Sit and Wait.....

    Well, a polar orbit from North Korea could place the device coming over the United States from the Gulf of Mexico, where we have no missile defense coverage. Our missile defense coverage is designed to destroy missiles in 2 of 3 phases of flight, the boost phase when the missile is launching out of the atmosphere, and the terminal phase when it's either about to or entering the atmosphere. While we have shot down a satellite in orbit before, there are a couple of issues that pose an 'issue' for doing so in this case. We had very accurate orbital data on those satellites because first we owned them, and second they had been in space for weeks or months and were able to gather very accurate data ahead of time. Second, we haven't shot a satellite down at the height of the above example. So to recap: 1. Our current missile defense system designed to destroy incoming ballistic missiles has a very poor track record in real world tests, with a 50% hit rate. 2. It only covers missiles on a ballistic path from China and Russia. For example there is no coverage along the east coast or the gulf of mexico. 3. We've never demonstrated the ability to knock satellites down in this type of orbit, with as little information as we'd have, and at the altitude of such an attack. Could we have some type of un-demonstrated ability yes, but these systems are complicated and big, it would be VERY hard to hide testing in this domain from the public, or other major powers.
  4. So We Sit and Wait.....

    How so to which part? The real threat is from HA-EMP devices placed into orbit, or that those devices are at an altitude that would make shooting them down much much harder, or that we should be cautious about starting a shooting war where 22-24 million people live within range of Norks massive artillery and mobile SCUD launchers?
  5. So We Sit and Wait.....

    I'd didn't say it was a 'great achievement', only that they demonstrated the ability to place 2 satellites into polar orbits, which is harder technically than placing satellites in a more traditional geocentric orbit (requiring more delta-v). It also hints at their goals, a sun-synchronous orbit while good for spy satellites, is also good way to place a 'device' over the Central US in such a way as to render us defenseless to such an attack with our currently deployed anti-missile technology. Also remember this latest launch which could have easily placed a satellite into orbit, was launched from a mobile launcher which would make hunting them down much much harder. Norks are a major problem, and we should be cautious about taking military action that might result in 10,000's of deaths in SK, and could result in an EMP attack against the home land.
  6. So We Sit and Wait.....

    That just isn't accurate, based on publicly known information on their weapons program. Here are some highlights: 1. They have put 2 satellites into stable polar orbits. They are higher than the space station. This is no small feet and only a handful of countries have the ability to do this. 2. While the distance laterally on their missiles isn't very far, it's the distance in height that is telling. If you throw a baseball straight up in the air and it reaches a height of 100 feet and lands 15 feet from you... Do you think you can throw the same baseball more than 15 feet at a 45 degree angle? 100 feet at the same 45 degree angle? Or much farther? 1&2 show the ability to lift a payload into orbit, and on a ballistic course that could easily impact CONUS. They're missing 2 more items needed to target us directly, 1. they need a reentry vehicle that can protect the payload, they haven't shown the ability to do this. 2. They need the ability to make mid course and reentry course corrections, to properly target city sized targets. BUT, the real threat is from a simple High Altitude Electromagnetic Pulse, they have demonstrated all the need technology to pull off this type of attack, there is little that we could do to stop the attack, accurate targeting isn't needed, and the results would be devastating to the American people. One device detonated over Lincoln, Neb could disable all 3 power grids within the United States, for days, and would leave a large area of the country without power for months. It would kill far more people than a single missile hitting a major US city, which is pretty hard to do accurately.
  7. Coat shopping for carry

    I love my 5.11 soft shell, and if you hunt around you can often find them on sale for under $80.
  8. Bipartisan deal on gun control unveiled

    Which stat do you want a source for? As I said, mass shootings are a rounding error in the total number of firearm deaths each year, trying to legislate away 100-200 deaths per year in a country of 330 million people is not a going to work. Most of the murders are driven by drugs, either turf related, or trying to steal to afford the drugs themselves. Coffee costs less than $50 per kilo for good high quality coffee, yet in TN cocaine costs ~$32,000 per kilo. If we made coffee that expensive overnight, we'd have more petty crime trying to get their coffee fix Oh yeah and it makes the world less stable, and causes our rights to be eroded here at home. Ask any police officer or former police officer here, how much of the crime they see day to day is driven by drugs either directly or indirectly, it's a huge problem. I'm a lifetime member of the NRA, and every time they call asking for a donation, I hang up and give to the GOA. I come to gun forums and complain because the only way to change the NRA is for NRA members to see the problem and demand the organization change.
  9. Bipartisan deal on gun control unveiled

    Can't fix a mental illness But, we need to be rational and point out just how much of a waste the background check system is, and why it should be ended.
  10. Bipartisan deal on gun control unveiled

    The background check system costs ~500 million per year, adding about $100 per firearm on average. In 2009, one of the last years we have stats for, ~6 million background checks were performed. The FBI denied a little over 72,000 of those background checks, and referred most of them to the ATF, where the vast majority of them are deemed to be false positives. In the end the ATF found 62 cases that they thought were criminal violations, and the vast majority of those weren't good enough for the DOJ to prosecute. So we have a system that costs lots of money, where 98.8% of purchases go through with no problem, of the remain purchases only 4700 are investigated the rest are false positives. And then when those 4,700 are looked at only 62 meet the criminal statues to be prosecuted under federal law. 62 out of 6+ million background checks! 99.99+% of purchases aren't criminal, yet we have to waste 500 million a year on the background check system, and all of the expense complying with it. What other right protected in the Bill of Rights can the government take away from us? Require us to ask for permission every time we want to make a purchase? None! And yes, I see no reason to keep the NFA at all, rifles aren't be used to commit crimes, if we repealed the NFA tomorrow, machine guns wouldn't be used to commit crimes in any great number. There were ~11,000 people killed by firearms in 2010, the vast majority with a pistol. Less than 2% (way less) were killed in a mass shooting... ~12% killed by police officers (somewhere between 1100 and 1500 per year)... These are all sad numbers but are footnotes to the real problem.... The failed war on drugs, the VAST majority of gun violence in this country is drug related, make drugs legal, and allow the market to set their price, and the rate of crime including gun violence would drop drastically. But with all of that said, crime is down to 1950's levels even without getting rid of the war on drugs... even with all these crazy mass shootings. Almost half of what it was in 1992... Starting in 1992 shall issue gun permits started to become the law of the land, and access to carry firearms by law abiding citizens increased, crime has decreased. Most mass shootings take place in gun free zones, and the vast majority of mass shootings are stopped by a 'good guy' with a gun. We should be making it easier for 'good guys' those law abiding citizens to have access at all times to firearms, not figure out more ways to waste tax payer money on programs that don't stop crime, only make us 'feel good' that we're doing something to stop it.
  11. Bipartisan deal on gun control unveiled

    The NRA should take a zero tolerance policy of new gun laws, and should be working to repeal as many of these silly laws as possible... instead they're providing cover for Republicans to vote to waste more money on gun laws that only impact law abiding citizens. And remember how we got the Hughes Amendment? A late night voice vote adding the machine gun ban to the FOPA of 1986, which the NRA allowed to go through.
  12. Bipartisan deal on gun control unveiled

    The background check system is a complete waste of money and time. The people causing these mass shootings are going to: 1. Pass the background check anyhow. 2. Commit another serious crime to gain access to firearms. All the background check system does is waste the time and money of otherwise law abiding citizens... It's not fixable, so why throw good money after bad on a 'feel' good system?
  13. Bipartisan deal on gun control unveiled

    Negotiate Rights Away strikes again!
  14. Yes because we need to pass a law to reduce the 0.0066% of firearms stolen each year. It's a rounding error, just like the national background check system is a rounding error, which has a 80-90+% false positive rate. These laws don't protect people, or do anything to reduce crime.... Stop the failed war on drugs would be the best way to reduce crime, and would save us a lot of money as well.
  15. People simply don't know gun laws

    No offense but most of the people on this forum don't even understand TN gun laws (yes they're crappy and make no sense what so ever), how do you expect anybody to understand all the combinations of federal and state gun laws that exist out there? We have a republican legislature that can't even pass a pro-gun law that doesn't make the gun laws even more stupid and hard to understand. I use to be able to carry into the small town city hall where I went to high school, I can't now because in the basement is the police office. How many city halls in TN have been shot up by permit holders? None, yet we have to make the law even harder for a otherwise law abiding citizen to follow. Somebody please explain to me, how when we had a democratic legislature we got more and better gun laws passed than we do under a republican one?

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